Douglas County vs. Oregon
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Average Earnings Per Job Growth and Change, 1969-2017
Introduction
Douglas County:
2017 Avg. Earnings = $45,434
2017 Percent of State = 79.0%
Oregon:
2017 Avg. Earnings = $57,502
The United States economy has generated an impressive number of jobs since the 1970s. The contrast between the nation's vigorous employment growth and the modest performance of other major industrial countries is striking. Despite this rosy track record, the real (inflation adjusted) wages and salaries of many workers have stagnated or slipped in recent years. This development has provoked concerns about the quality of new jobs. Structural shifts in the composition of employment--from high-wage goods-producing to low-wage services-related sectors--is the culprit most often cited for the deteriorating quality of jobs.
Regions vary greatly in the make-up of their labor force, in their industry composition of employment, and their economic experience. Reviewing and examining recent developments in average earnings per job in Douglas County with comparisons to Oregon and the nation is an important first step in understanding the economic forces at play in Douglas County.
Discussion: Average Annual Earnings Per Job are computed by dividing BEA total industry earnings estimates by the BEA total full- and part-time jobs estimates. No convenient or adequate means exist at the county or regional level for converting the job estimates to a full-time equivalent measure. So, interpret the average earnings per job estimates with caution in consideration of the following issues:
Average earnings per job within industries involving more part-time work is lower than industries involving more full-time work, although there could be little difference in the underlying wage of full-time workers. Such differences could also prevail between counties and regions. An increase in the proportion of part-time jobs over time may erode average earnings per job estimates, although full-time earnings per worker may have remained unchanged.
As with per capita income, average earnings per job may be subject to extreme short-run variation, especially in smaller counties. Major construction projects relating to building dams, nuclear power plants, and private plant construction projects have caused extreme fluctuations in many smaller counties. Such changes typify both small and large agriculture-dependent counties owing to the extreme annual variations in farm incomes. Also, Since average earnings per job are just a simple average, it does not account for variations in the distribution of earnings among high- vs. low-wage jobs.
Douglas County Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2017
Current vs. Constant Dollars
Douglas County Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2017
Current vs. Constant Dollars
Figure 1.
Figure 1 depicts Douglas County's annual average earnings per job over 1969-2017 in current and constant (2012) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real purchasing power of Douglas County over time.
When measured in current dollars, Douglas County's average earnings per job increased 535.8%, from $7,146 in 1969 to $45,434 in 2017. When measured in constant 2012 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 20.0%, from $35,703 in 1969 to $42,833 in 2017.
Real Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2017
Real Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2017
Figure 2.
Figure 2 traces Douglas County's and Oregon's annual real average earnings per job for the period 1969-2017 to illustrate real average earnings per job patterns over time. During this 49-year period, Douglas County's real average earnings per job rose from $35,703 in 1969 to $42,833 in 2017, for a net gain of $7,130, or 20.0%. In comparison, Oregon's real average earnings per job increased from $35,163 in 1969 to $54,210 in 2017, for a net gain of $19,047, or 54.2%.
Real Average Earnings Per Job Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Real Average Earnings Per Job Indices (1969=100): 1969-2017
Figure 3.
Figure 3 portrays Douglas County's real average earnings per job growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Oregon, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real average earnings per job in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the real average earnings per jobs in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real average earnings per job growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Douglas County's overall real average earnings per job growth was 20.0% over 1969-2017 trailed Oregon's increase of 54.2%, and fell below the United States' increase of 59.1%.
Average Earnings Per Job as a Percent of the U.S. Average: 1969-2017
Average Earnings Per Job as a Percent of the U.S. Average: 1969-2017
Figure 4.
Figure 4 displays the trends for average earnings per job relative to the national average by tracing Douglas County and Oregon average earnings per job as a percent of the national average over 1969-2017.
In 1969, Douglas County's average earnings per job amounted to 99.3% of the national average; in 2017, it approximated 74.9%. Similarly, in 1969, Oregon's average earnings per job totaled 97.8% of the national average; in 2017, it consisted of 94.8%.
Douglas County Real Average Earnings Per Job:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Douglas County Real Average Earnings Per Job:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2017
Figure 5.
Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Douglas County's real average earnings per job growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2017. The average annual percent change for the entire 48-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Douglas County's real average earnings per job grew at an annual rate of 0.41% over 1970-2017. The county recorded its highest growth in 1976 (5.90%) and posted its lowest growth in 1981 (-6.18%). In 2017, Douglas County's real average earnings per job grew by 1.32%
Douglas County Real Average Earnings Per Job:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Douglas County Real Average Earnings Per Job:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2017
Figure 6.
Over the past four decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again shows the annual percent change in Douglas County's real average earnings per job since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2017.
During the 1970s, Douglas County's annual real average earnings per job growth rate averaged 1.27%. It averaged -1.57% throughout the 1980s, 0.62% during the 1990s, 0.51% during the 2000s, and 1.44% thus far this decade (2010 to 2017).
Real Average Earnings Per Job Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Real Average Earnings Per Job Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Douglas County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Oregon and the nation. As the chart reveals, Douglas County's average annual real average earnings per job growth outgained Oregon's average in the 1970s (1.27% vs. 0.98%), trailed Oregon's average throughout the 1980s (-1.57% vs. -0.35%), amounted to less than Oregon's average throughout the 1990s (0.62% vs. 1.93%), outpaced Oregon's average in the 2000s (0.51% vs. 0.50%), and trailed Oregon's average over the 8 year period of the last decade, 2010-2017 (1.44% vs. 1.70%).
Finally, relative to nationwide real average earnings per job growth trends, Douglas County topped the nation over the 1970s (1.27% vs. 0.89%), recorded underneath the nation in the 1980s (-1.57% vs. 0.70%), posted below the nation over the 1990s (0.62% vs. 1.68%), fell under the nation throughout the 2000s (0.51% vs. 0.72%), and topped the nation over 2010-2017 (1.44% vs. 0.92%).
   
 
Real* Average Earnings Per Job Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
0.41
1.27
-1.57
0.62
0.51
1.44
1.32
 
0.92
0.98
-0.35
1.93
0.50
1.70
2.16
 
0.98
0.89
0.70
1.68
0.72
0.92
1.41
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Douglas County:
Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
7,146
0.200
35,703
100.0
N
101.54
99.31
1970
 
7,509
0.210
35,840
100.4
0.38
101.50
98.60
1971
 
8,057
0.218
36,888
103.3
2.92
102.53
99.15
1972
 
8,694
0.226
38,492
107.8
4.35
102.86
99.75
1973
 
9,408
0.238
39,527
110.7
2.69
103.87
100.51
1974
 
10,001
0.263
38,055
106.6
-3.72
101.86
100.47
1975
 
10,455
0.285
36,722
102.9
-3.50
100.52
97.32
1976
 
11,679
0.300
38,887
108.9
5.90
102.68
100.87
1977
 
12,564
0.320
39,280
110.0
1.01
103.57
100.98
1978
 
13,869
0.342
40,538
113.5
3.20
104.72
102.81
1979
 
15,028
0.373
40,343
113.0
-0.48
104.27
102.92
1980
 
15,969
0.413
38,703
108.4
-4.07
103.30
101.77
1981
 
16,324
0.450
36,309
101.7
-6.18
99.57
95.51
1982
 
16,400
0.475
34,559
96.8
-4.82
97.33
91.11
1983
 
17,496
0.495
35,363
99.0
2.33
100.40
92.41
1984
 
18,404
0.513
35,846
100.4
1.36
99.85
91.14
1985
 
18,733
0.531
35,256
98.7
-1.64
98.49
88.60
1986
 
19,086
0.543
35,156
98.5
-0.28
96.60
86.40
1987
 
19,508
0.560
34,858
97.6
-0.85
95.60
84.30
1988
 
20,538
0.582
35,319
98.9
1.32
95.11
84.09
1989
 
20,822
0.607
34,309
96.1
-2.86
92.00
81.70
1990
 
21,833
0.634
34,462
96.5
0.45
91.16
82.00
1991
 
22,042
0.655
33,666
94.3
-2.31
87.85
79.98
1992
 
23,151
0.672
34,442
96.5
2.30
86.67
78.71
1993
 
23,843
0.689
34,609
96.9
0.49
85.57
79.10
1994
 
24,541
0.703
34,895
97.7
0.82
85.94
79.28
1995
 
24,485
0.718
34,096
95.5
-2.29
83.54
77.34
1996
 
25,329
0.733
34,533
96.7
1.28
82.68
77.06
1997
 
26,351
0.746
35,312
98.9
2.26
82.81
76.87
1998
 
27,235
0.752
36,210
101.4
2.54
82.07
75.49
1999
 
27,823
0.763
36,447
102.1
0.65
80.76
73.56
2000
 
28,478
0.782
36,401
102.0
-0.13
77.76
71.23
2001
 
29,685
0.797
37,228
104.3
2.27
79.22
71.57
2002
 
30,812
0.808
38,139
106.8
2.45
80.53
72.66
2003
 
31,681
0.824
38,467
107.7
0.86
80.47
72.57
2004
 
33,405
0.844
39,575
110.8
2.88
82.06
73.49
2005
 
34,228
0.868
39,427
110.4
-0.37
82.16
73.37
2006
 
35,461
0.892
39,766
111.4
0.86
81.03
73.20
2007
 
35,291
0.914
38,596
108.1
-2.94
79.61
71.46
2008
 
35,204
0.942
37,379
104.7
-3.15
78.05
70.00
2009
 
35,995
0.941
38,254
107.1
2.34
80.71
71.94
2010
 
37,892
0.957
39,593
110.9
3.50
82.76
72.61
2011
 
38,366
0.981
39,096
109.5
-1.25
81.53
71.54
2012
 
39,962
1.000
39,962
111.9
2.22
80.73
72.23
2013
 
40,431
1.013
39,894
111.7
-0.17
80.31
72.05
2014
 
40,781
1.029
39,644
111.0
-0.63
79.10
71.07
2015
 
42,435
1.031
41,149
115.3
3.80
78.96
72.69
2016
 
44,063
1.042
42,273
118.4
2.73
79.67
74.97
2017
 
45,434
1.061
42,833
120.0
1.32
79.01
74.90
Source: Calculations by the Oregon Regional Economic Analysis Project (OR-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1400_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Oregon:
Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
7,038
0.200
35,163
100.0
N
97.80
1970
 
7,398
0.210
35,309
100.4
0.41
97.14
1971
 
7,858
0.218
35,978
102.3
1.90
96.71
1972
 
8,452
0.226
37,421
106.4
4.01
96.98
1973
 
9,058
0.238
38,056
108.2
1.70
96.77
1974
 
9,818
0.263
37,359
106.2
-1.83
98.63
1975
 
10,401
0.285
36,533
103.9
-2.21
96.82
1976
 
11,374
0.300
37,873
107.7
3.67
98.24
1977
 
12,131
0.320
37,925
107.9
0.14
97.50
1978
 
13,244
0.342
38,712
110.1
2.08
98.18
1979
 
14,413
0.373
38,690
110.0
-0.06
98.70
1980
 
15,460
0.413
37,468
106.6
-3.16
98.52
1981
 
16,395
0.450
36,467
103.7
-2.67
95.93
1982
 
16,851
0.475
35,509
101.0
-2.63
93.61
1983
 
17,425
0.495
35,221
100.2
-0.81
92.04
1984
 
18,433
0.513
35,901
102.1
1.93
91.28
1985
 
19,021
0.531
35,798
101.8
-0.29
89.96
1986
 
19,758
0.543
36,393
103.5
1.66
89.43
1987
 
20,405
0.560
36,461
103.7
0.19
88.18
1988
 
21,596
0.582
37,137
105.6
1.85
88.41
1989
 
22,633
0.607
37,292
106.1
0.42
88.80
1990
 
23,950
0.634
37,804
107.5
1.37
89.95
1991
 
25,091
0.655
38,323
109.0
1.37
91.04
1992
 
26,711
0.672
39,739
113.0
3.70
90.81
1993
 
27,865
0.689
40,448
115.0
1.78
92.44
1994
 
28,555
0.703
40,602
115.5
0.38
92.24
1995
 
29,311
0.718
40,817
116.1
0.53
92.59
1996
 
30,636
0.733
41,770
118.8
2.33
93.21
1997
 
31,819
0.746
42,640
121.3
2.08
92.82
1998
 
33,185
0.752
44,120
125.5
3.47
91.98
1999
 
34,452
0.763
45,131
128.3
2.29
91.09
2000
 
36,624
0.782
46,813
133.1
3.73
91.61
2001
 
37,470
0.797
46,991
133.6
0.38
90.34
2002
 
38,260
0.808
47,357
134.7
0.78
90.22
2003
 
39,372
0.824
47,806
136.0
0.95
90.18
2004
 
40,708
0.844
48,226
137.1
0.88
89.55
2005
 
41,659
0.868
47,987
136.5
-0.49
89.30
2006
 
43,762
0.892
49,074
139.6
2.27
90.33
2007
 
44,328
0.914
48,479
137.9
-1.21
89.76
2008
 
45,103
0.942
47,890
136.2
-1.21
89.68
2009
 
44,598
0.941
47,398
134.8
-1.03
89.13
2010
 
45,783
0.957
47,838
136.0
0.93
87.73
2011
 
47,057
0.981
47,953
136.4
0.24
87.75
2012
 
49,504
1.000
49,504
140.8
3.23
89.48
2013
 
50,347
1.013
49,678
141.3
0.35
89.72
2014
 
51,554
1.029
50,116
142.5
0.88
89.84
2015
 
53,745
1.031
52,116
148.2
3.99
92.07
2016
 
55,310
1.042
53,063
150.9
1.82
94.10
2017
 
57,502
1.061
54,210
154.2
2.16
94.79
Source: Calculations by the Oregon Regional Economic Analysis Project (OR-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1400_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Average Earnings Per Job, 1969-2017
 
1969
 
7,196
0.200
35,953
100.0
N
1970
 
7,615
0.210
36,349
101.1
1.10
1971
 
8,125
0.218
37,202
103.5
2.35
1972
 
8,715
0.226
38,587
107.3
3.72
1973
 
9,360
0.238
39,326
109.4
1.92
1974
 
9,954
0.263
37,877
105.4
-3.69
1975
 
10,742
0.285
37,733
104.9
-0.38
1976
 
11,577
0.300
38,550
107.2
2.17
1977
 
12,442
0.320
38,898
108.2
0.90
1978
 
13,489
0.342
39,429
109.7
1.36
1979
 
14,602
0.373
39,199
109.0
-0.58
1980
 
15,692
0.413
38,030
105.8
-2.98
1981
 
17,091
0.450
38,015
105.7
-0.04
1982
 
18,001
0.475
37,932
105.5
-0.22
1983
 
18,932
0.495
38,267
106.4
0.88
1984
 
20,194
0.513
39,331
109.4
2.78
1985
 
21,143
0.531
39,792
110.7
1.17
1986
 
22,092
0.543
40,692
113.2
2.26
1987
 
23,141
0.560
41,350
115.0
1.62
1988
 
24,425
0.582
42,003
116.8
1.58
1989
 
25,487
0.607
41,996
116.8
-0.02
1990
 
26,625
0.634
42,025
116.9
0.07
1991
 
27,561
0.655
42,095
117.1
0.17
1992
 
29,415
0.672
43,760
121.7
3.96
1993
 
30,143
0.689
43,754
121.7
-0.01
1994
 
30,956
0.703
44,015
122.4
0.60
1995
 
31,658
0.718
44,085
122.6
0.16
1996
 
32,868
0.733
44,813
124.6
1.65
1997
 
34,281
0.746
45,939
127.8
2.51
1998
 
36,079
0.752
47,967
133.4
4.41
1999
 
37,823
0.763
49,547
137.8
3.29
2000
 
39,978
0.782
51,100
142.1
3.13
2001
 
41,477
0.797
52,016
144.7
1.79
2002
 
42,407
0.808
52,491
146.0
0.91
2003
 
43,657
0.824
53,009
147.4
0.99
2004
 
45,458
0.844
53,853
149.8
1.59
2005
 
46,650
0.868
53,737
149.5
-0.22
2006
 
48,444
0.892
54,325
151.1
1.09
2007
 
49,385
0.914
54,009
150.2
-0.58
2008
 
50,294
0.942
53,402
148.5
-1.12
2009
 
50,038
0.941
53,179
147.9
-0.42
2010
 
52,187
0.957
54,529
151.7
2.54
2011
 
53,628
0.981
54,650
152.0
0.22
2012
 
55,324
1.000
55,324
153.9
1.23
2013
 
56,117
1.013
55,371
154.0
0.09
2014
 
57,382
1.029
55,782
155.2
0.74
2015
 
58,377
1.031
56,607
157.4
1.48
2016
 
58,777
1.042
56,389
156.8
-0.38
2017
 
60,660
1.061
57,187
159.1
1.41
Source: Calculations by the Oregon Regional Economic Analysis Project (OR-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2018
REAP_PI_CA1400_1400_PN
 
   
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