Lincoln County vs. Oregon
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Per Capita Personal Income Growth and Change, 1969-2018
Introduction
Lincoln County:
2018 PCI = $44,119
2018 Percent of State = 86.8%
Oregon:
2018 PCI = $50,843
Per Capita Income (PCI) is one of the most widely used indicators for gauging the economic performance and changing fortunes of local economies. It is used as a yardstick to assess the economic well being of a region's residents and the quality of consumer markets. It serves as a barometer for calibrating the economic performance of a region over time and to judge differences in relative economic prosperity between regions. Shifting trends in local per capita income growth have important social and political ramifications and significant implications in formulating local economic development strategies and initiatives.
Data Definition:
This measure of income is calculated as the total personal income of the residents of an area divided by the population of the area. Per capita personal income is often used as an indicator of consumers' purchasing power and of the economic well-being of the residents of an area.
Personal income is measured as a flow throughout the year, while the measurement of population is at one point in mid-year. Therefore, per capita income is distorted if a significant change in population occurs during the year.
For smaller counties in particular, per capita income in any given year may be exceptionally high or low for the short run because of unusual local conditions, such as a bumper crop, a catastrophe, or a major construction project as the building of a dam or nuclear power plant.
Farm incomes are notorious for being especially volatile year-to-year, owing to changing weather, commodity market conditions, and alterations in government programs. Therefore, the per capita income of farm-dependent counties may exhibit sharp fluctuations over time.
The presence of large institutional populations--such as residents attending a local college or the residents of a local prison or state mental institution--can significantly lower the per capita income estimates of an area. Such results may not reflect the relative economic well being of the non-institutional population and may mislead if care is not given to their interpretation.
Lincoln County Per Capita Personal Income, 1970-2018
Current vs. Constant Dollars
Lincoln County Per Capita Personal Income, 1970-2018
Current vs. Constant Dollars
Figure 1.
Figure 1 depicts Lincoln County's annual per capita personal income over 1970-2018 in current and constant (2012) dollars. Constant dollar measurements remove the effects of inflation. They allow for comparison of changes in the real purchasing power of Lincoln County over time.
When measured in current dollars, Lincoln County's per capita personal income increased 1,099.1%, from $3,679 in 1970 to $44,119 in 2018. When measured in constant 2012 dollars to adjust for inflation, it advanced 132.3%, from $17,562 in 1970 to $40,797 in 2018.
Real Per Capita Personal Income, 1969-2018
Real Per Capita Personal Income, 1969-2018
Figure 2.
Figure 2 traces Lincoln County's and Oregon's annual real per capita personal income for the period 1969-2018 to illustrate real per capita personal income patterns over time. During this 50-year period, Lincoln County's real per capita personal income rose from $16,482 in 1969 to $40,797 in 2018, for a net gain of $24,315, or 147.5%. In comparison, Oregon's real per capita personal income increased from $18,977 in 1969 to $47,015 in 2018, for a net gain of $28,037, or 147.7%.
Real Per Capita Personal Income Indices (1969=100): 1969-2018
Real Per Capita Personal Income Indices (1969=100): 1969-2018
Figure 3.
Figure 3 shows Lincoln County's real per capita personal income growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with Oregon, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's real per capita personal income in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the real per capita personal incomes in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in real per capita personal income growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Lincoln County's overall real per capita personal income growth was 147.5% over 1969-2018 trailed Oregon's increase of 147.7%, and fell below the United States' increase of 156.4%.
Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of the U.S. Average: 1969-2018
Per Capita Personal Income as a Percent of the U.S. Average: 1969-2018
Figure 4.
Figure 4 displays the trends for per capita personal income relative to the national average by tracing Lincoln County and Oregon per capita personal income as a percent of the national average over 1969-2018.
In 1969, Lincoln County's per capita personal income amounted to 83.9% of the national average; in 2018, it approximated 81.0%. Similarly, in 1969, Oregon's per capita personal income totaled 96.6% of the national average; in 2018, it consisted of 93.4%.
Lincoln County Real Per Capita Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2018
Lincoln County Real Per Capita Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2018
Figure 5.
Figure 5 displays the short-run pattern of Lincoln County's real per capita personal income growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2018. The average annual percent change for the entire 49-year period is also traced on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Lincoln County's real per capita personal income grew at an annual rate of 1.90% over 1970-2018. The county recorded its highest growth in 1976 (8.53%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1980 (-3.96%). In 2018, Lincoln County's real per capita personal income grew by 2.87%
Lincoln County Real Per Capita Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2018
Lincoln County Real Per Capita Personal Income:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2018
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again illustrates the annual percent change in Lincoln County's real per capita personal income since 1970, but this time they are displayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, and 2010-2018.
During the 1970s, Lincoln County's annual real per capita personal income growth rate averaged 4.20%. It averaged 0.34% throughout the 1980s, 2.05% throughout the 1990s, 1.06% in the 2000s, and 1.84% thus far this decade (2010 to 2018).
Real Per Capita Personal Income Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Real Per Capita Personal Income Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Lincoln County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for Oregon and the nation. As the chart reveals, Lincoln County's average annual real per capita personal income growth surpassed Oregon's average during the 1970s (4.20% vs. 2.97%), trailed Oregon's average during the 1980s (0.34% vs. 1.15%), fell below Oregon's average in the 1990s (2.05% vs. 2.15%), outpaced Oregon's average throughout the 2000s (1.06% vs. 0.75%), and recorded under Oregon's average over the 9 year period of the last decade, 2010-2018 (1.84% vs. 2.50%).
Finally, relative to nationwide real per capita personal income growth trends, Lincoln County recorded above the nation during the 1970s (4.20% vs. 2.37%), fell under the nation during the 1980s (0.34% vs. 2.20%), led the nation throughout the 1990s (2.05% vs. 2.03%), posted below the nation during the 2000s (1.06% vs. 1.09%), and recorded underneath the nation over 2010-2018 (1.84% vs. 2.11%).
   
 
Real* Per Capita Personal Income Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
1.90
4.20
0.34
2.05
1.06
1.84
2.87
 
1.89
2.97
1.15
2.15
0.75
2.50
2.96
 
1.96
2.37
2.20
2.03
1.09
2.11
2.79
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Lincoln County:
Per Capita Personal Income, 1969-2018
 
1969
 
3,299
0.200
16,482
100.0
N
86.85
83.93
1970
 
3,679
0.210
17,562
106.6
6.55
90.52
87.65
1971
 
3,808
0.218
17,436
105.8
-0.72
87.26
85.18
1972
 
4,260
0.226
18,861
114.4
8.17
88.97
87.71
1973
 
4,766
0.238
20,025
121.5
6.17
90.09
88.87
1974
 
5,418
0.263
20,616
125.1
2.96
92.01
92.85
1975
 
5,920
0.285
20,795
126.2
0.87
92.24
93.62
1976
 
6,778
0.300
22,569
136.9
8.53
95.58
98.59
1977
 
7,373
0.320
23,051
139.9
2.14
95.61
98.10
1978
 
8,290
0.342
24,231
147.0
5.12
96.48
99.21
1979
 
9,226
0.373
24,767
150.3
2.21
97.52
99.93
1980
 
9,814
0.413
23,786
144.3
-3.96
95.90
96.41
1981
 
10,334
0.450
22,987
139.5
-3.36
94.52
91.46
1982
 
10,650
0.475
22,443
136.2
-2.37
94.59
88.76
1983
 
11,407
0.495
23,057
139.9
2.74
94.85
89.84
1984
 
11,961
0.513
23,296
141.3
1.03
92.22
86.01
1985
 
12,695
0.531
23,893
145.0
2.56
93.42
86.04
1986
 
13,610
0.543
25,070
152.1
4.93
95.56
87.87
1987
 
13,754
0.560
24,576
149.1
-1.97
92.42
84.44
1988
 
14,590
0.582
25,091
152.2
2.09
91.37
83.59
1989
 
15,485
0.607
25,515
154.8
1.69
89.85
82.91
1990
 
16,103
0.634
25,417
154.2
-0.38
88.68
82.07
1991
 
16,980
0.655
25,934
157.3
2.03
90.95
84.77
1992
 
17,729
0.672
26,375
160.0
1.70
90.70
84.06
1993
 
18,285
0.689
26,542
161.0
0.63
89.41
84.14
1994
 
19,105
0.703
27,165
164.8
2.35
88.96
84.63
1995
 
19,933
0.718
27,757
168.4
2.18
87.96
84.44
1996
 
21,248
0.733
28,970
175.8
4.37
88.63
85.78
1997
 
22,040
0.746
29,535
179.2
1.95
88.11
84.79
1998
 
23,345
0.752
31,037
188.3
5.09
89.57
84.72
1999
 
23,833
0.763
31,220
189.4
0.59
88.96
83.11
2000
 
25,176
0.782
32,180
195.2
3.07
88.15
82.12
2001
 
26,030
0.797
32,644
198.1
1.44
89.64
82.40
2002
 
26,306
0.808
32,561
197.6
-0.25
90.65
82.64
2003
 
27,129
0.824
32,940
199.9
1.16
91.16
83.01
2004
 
28,708
0.844
34,010
206.4
3.25
91.90
83.82
2005
 
29,485
0.868
33,964
206.1
-0.14
90.73
82.25
2006
 
31,096
0.892
34,871
211.6
2.67
89.08
81.58
2007
 
31,671
0.914
34,637
210.2
-0.67
87.97
79.49
2008
 
32,977
0.942
35,015
212.4
1.09
88.97
80.62
2009
 
32,605
0.941
34,652
210.2
-1.04
91.90
83.00
2010
 
33,513
0.957
35,017
212.5
1.05
92.78
82.65
2011
 
34,950
0.981
35,616
216.1
1.71
92.41
81.78
2012
 
36,092
1.000
36,092
219.0
1.34
91.14
80.93
2013
 
36,257
1.013
35,775
217.1
-0.88
90.61
80.84
2014
 
38,123
1.028
37,074
224.9
3.63
89.74
81.01
2015
 
39,969
1.030
38,788
235.3
4.62
88.46
81.61
2016
 
40,761
1.041
39,159
237.6
0.96
87.66
81.74
2017
 
42,009
1.059
39,658
240.6
1.27
86.85
80.97
2018
 
44,119
1.081
40,797
247.5
2.87
86.77
81.03
Source: Calculations by the Oregon Regional Economic Analysis Project (OR-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2019
REAP_PI_CA1400_700_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Oregon:
Per Capita Personal Income, 1969-2018
 
1969
 
3,798
0.200
18,977
100.0
N
96.63
1970
 
4,065
0.210
19,400
102.2
2.23
96.82
1971
 
4,364
0.218
19,982
105.3
3.00
97.62
1972
 
4,788
0.226
21,200
111.7
6.10
98.59
1973
 
5,291
0.238
22,228
117.1
4.85
98.65
1974
 
5,889
0.263
22,407
118.1
0.81
100.91
1975
 
6,418
0.285
22,543
118.8
0.61
101.49
1976
 
7,091
0.300
23,613
124.4
4.74
103.15
1977
 
7,712
0.320
24,111
127.0
2.11
102.61
1978
 
8,592
0.342
25,116
132.3
4.17
102.83
1979
 
9,461
0.373
25,397
133.8
1.12
102.47
1980
 
10,234
0.413
24,803
130.7
-2.34
100.53
1981
 
10,933
0.450
24,319
128.1
-1.95
96.76
1982
 
11,260
0.475
23,727
125.0
-2.43
93.84
1983
 
12,026
0.495
24,308
128.1
2.45
94.71
1984
 
12,970
0.513
25,261
133.1
3.92
93.26
1985
 
13,590
0.531
25,576
134.8
1.25
92.11
1986
 
14,243
0.543
26,235
138.2
2.58
91.95
1987
 
14,881
0.560
26,591
140.1
1.36
91.36
1988
 
15,969
0.582
27,461
144.7
3.27
91.48
1989
 
17,235
0.607
28,398
149.6
3.41
92.28
1990
 
18,159
0.634
28,662
151.0
0.93
92.55
1991
 
18,670
0.655
28,515
150.3
-0.51
93.21
1992
 
19,546
0.672
29,079
153.2
1.98
92.68
1993
 
20,452
0.689
29,687
156.4
2.09
94.11
1994
 
21,475
0.703
30,535
160.9
2.86
95.13
1995
 
22,663
0.718
31,559
166.3
3.35
96.00
1996
 
23,974
0.733
32,686
172.2
3.57
96.78
1997
 
25,015
0.746
33,522
176.6
2.56
96.24
1998
 
26,063
0.752
34,650
182.6
3.37
94.58
1999
 
26,792
0.763
35,096
184.9
1.29
93.43
2000
 
28,561
0.782
36,506
192.4
4.02
93.16
2001
 
29,037
0.797
36,415
191.9
-0.25
91.92
2002
 
29,019
0.808
35,919
189.3
-1.36
91.16
2003
 
29,759
0.824
36,134
190.4
0.60
91.06
2004
 
31,238
0.844
37,007
195.0
2.42
91.20
2005
 
32,496
0.868
37,432
197.2
1.15
90.65
2006
 
34,909
0.892
39,147
206.3
4.58
91.59
2007
 
36,003
0.914
39,375
207.5
0.58
90.36
2008
 
37,067
0.942
39,358
207.4
-0.04
90.62
2009
 
35,481
0.941
37,708
198.7
-4.19
90.32
2010
 
36,122
0.957
37,743
198.9
0.09
89.09
2011
 
37,821
0.981
38,541
203.1
2.12
88.50
2012
 
39,601
1.000
39,601
208.7
2.75
88.79
2013
 
40,015
1.013
39,484
208.1
-0.30
89.22
2014
 
42,483
1.028
41,314
217.7
4.64
90.28
2015
 
45,182
1.030
43,847
231.0
6.13
92.25
2016
 
46,498
1.041
44,670
235.4
1.88
93.24
2017
 
48,372
1.059
45,665
240.6
2.23
93.23
2018
 
50,843
1.081
47,015
247.7
2.96
93.38
Source: Calculations by the Oregon Regional Economic Analysis Project (OR-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2019
REAP_PI_CA1400_700_PSN
 
   

Tip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Per Capita Personal Income, 1969-2018
 
1969
 
3,931
0.200
19,638
100.0
N
1970
 
4,198
0.210
20,037
102.0
2.03
1971
 
4,471
0.218
20,469
104.2
2.16
1972
 
4,857
0.226
21,504
109.5
5.05
1973
 
5,363
0.238
22,532
114.7
4.78
1974
 
5,836
0.263
22,205
113.1
-1.45
1975
 
6,324
0.285
22,212
113.1
0.03
1976
 
6,875
0.300
22,893
116.6
3.06
1977
 
7,516
0.320
23,496
119.6
2.64
1978
 
8,356
0.342
24,425
124.4
3.95
1979
 
9,232
0.373
24,784
126.2
1.47
1980
 
10,180
0.413
24,672
125.6
-0.45
1981
 
11,300
0.450
25,134
128.0
1.87
1982
 
11,999
0.475
25,285
128.8
0.60
1983
 
12,698
0.495
25,666
130.7
1.51
1984
 
13,906
0.513
27,085
137.9
5.53
1985
 
14,755
0.531
27,769
141.4
2.52
1986
 
15,490
0.543
28,532
145.3
2.75
1987
 
16,289
0.560
29,106
148.2
2.01
1988
 
17,455
0.582
30,017
152.8
3.13
1989
 
18,676
0.607
30,773
156.7
2.52
1990
 
19,621
0.634
30,970
157.7
0.64
1991
 
20,030
0.655
30,593
155.8
-1.22
1992
 
21,090
0.672
31,376
159.8
2.56
1993
 
21,733
0.689
31,546
160.6
0.54
1994
 
22,575
0.703
32,099
163.4
1.75
1995
 
23,607
0.718
32,874
167.4
2.42
1996
 
24,771
0.733
33,773
172.0
2.73
1997
 
25,993
0.746
34,833
177.4
3.14
1998
 
27,557
0.752
36,637
186.6
5.18
1999
 
28,675
0.763
37,564
191.3
2.53
2000
 
30,657
0.782
39,186
199.5
4.32
2001
 
31,589
0.797
39,616
201.7
1.10
2002
 
31,832
0.808
39,401
200.6
-0.54
2003
 
32,681
0.824
39,681
202.1
0.71
2004
 
34,251
0.844
40,576
206.6
2.26
2005
 
35,849
0.868
41,295
210.3
1.77
2006
 
38,114
0.892
42,742
217.6
3.50
2007
 
39,844
0.914
43,575
221.9
1.95
2008
 
40,904
0.942
43,431
221.2
-0.33
2009
 
39,284
0.941
41,750
212.6
-3.87
2010
 
40,546
0.957
42,366
215.7
1.47
2011
 
42,735
0.981
43,549
221.8
2.79
2012
 
44,599
1.000
44,599
227.1
2.41
2013
 
44,851
1.013
44,255
225.4
-0.77
2014
 
47,058
1.028
45,763
233.0
3.41
2015
 
48,978
1.030
47,530
242.0
3.86
2016
 
49,870
1.041
47,910
244.0
0.80
2017
 
51,885
1.059
48,980
249.4
2.23
2018
 
54,446
1.081
50,347
256.4
2.79
Source: Calculations by the Oregon Regional Economic Analysis Project (OR-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2019
REAP_PI_CA1400_700_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2020. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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